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Global Economic Trend Analysis You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email. Global Economic Trend Analysis
- 51articles · 30d
- 5+ hour agolatest article
- Aug 15, 2026earliest in window
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- 353avg words
- Economy, Business & Finance 35
- Finance & Business 24
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News
Bond Yields Surge, Gasoline Up 5 Cents, Fed Interest Rate Hike Odds Jump
3+ day, 13+ hour ago (99+ words) Hello Mr. President, still want to hand out $1.3 trillion in free bribe money? The 30-year long bond yield is the highest since Summer of 2007. Highest Since Global Financial Crisis Another day, another record diesel price. Interestingly the price of gasoline…...
Has Job Growth Accelerated or Should We Be Skeptical? What Does QCEW Suggest? – MishTalk
4+ day, 21+ hour ago (746+ words) Here are 8 charts and tables to discuss. The lead chart compares the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) to the Current Employment Statistics (CES) nonfarm payroll report. Year-Over-Year QCEW and CES Nonfarm Payrolls Through March These numbers are down…...
Seven Forces Support High and Rising Bond Yields
5+ day, 23+ hour ago (339+ words) There are national and international forces pressuring yields. Change Since Start of War Seven Forces Pressuring Yields Five Forces Impacting Diesel AAA fuel prices as of 11:00 PM September 7, 2026. Twitter is littered with people wanting the Fed to stay on hold....
ADP Reports Private Payrolls Increase by 38,000. BLS Reports Friday – MishTalk
1+ week, 4+ day ago (516+ words) The Econoday consensus for Friday is +55,000. ADP reports Private Employers Add 38,000 in August ADP Change in Employment by Employer Size ADP Change by Employer Size Detail ADP vs BLS Private Payrolls ADP offers little insight to BLS nonfarm payrolls on…...
September Fed Rate Hike Odds Shift Dramatically Back Towards a Hike
1+ week, 5+ day ago (639+ words) It’s been a complete round trip in the last month. The September rate forecast is from CME Fedwatch. Welcome back to the reality that inflation is a problem. Two Hike Odds (September and October) That’s another round trip. But I…...
Political Realities May Force the Fed to Hike in September
1+ week, 6+ day ago (1147+ words) It will be a stretch for the Fed to pause for many reasons, not just the CPI. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, specifically core PCE, not the CPI. However, the next…...
The BLS Annual Benchmark Revision for March 2026 Is -178,000 Private Jobs
2+ week, 2+ day ago (659+ words) The total revision was -79,000. This is the smallest benchmark revision since 2021. The BLS reports the Preliminary Benchmark Revision for March of 2026 (from March 2025) is -79,000 total jobs. Large Annual Revisions Are Over Looking ahead, I expect benchmark revisions will get smaller…...
Trump Threatens to Use the Military on the US Bond Market. What!? – MishTalk
3+ week, 2+ day ago (251+ words) Trump responds to a reporter’s question with an answer that makes no sense. Trump: No taxpayer money for the ballroom at all. Reporter: Did you direct Secretary Bessent on the bond market? Trump: No, not at all. He’s a very…...
Treasury Bond Manipulation Is Failing Already. What’s Next?
3+ week, 3+ day ago (1654+ words) Also, we have a severe clash between fed policy and Treasury bond manipulations. Please note Treasury Announces Increased Sizes of Nominal Long-End Liquidity Support Buybacks Beginning September 9 This change is effective September 9, 2026 and will be in effect for the remainder…...
Import and Export Prices Plunge in July on Energy Related Swing
3+ week, 5+ day ago (343+ words) The long-term charts tell a more compelling, and inflationary story. Import and Export Prices for July 2026 Please consider the BLS Import and Export Price Report for July 2026. Import and Export Prices Year-Over-Year Import and Export prices Never Returned to Normal…...